General assumptions include: XYZ firm would have been able to purchase the securities recommended by the model and the markets were sufficiently liquid to permit all trading. Our new set of capital market assumptions for the China A-share market recognizes this development. Margin of Safety is N/A. Unfortunately, it won’t generate much income today if you limit yourself to popular investments. Great Elm Capital Group, Inc. That's kind of nuts when you think about it. The Federal Reserve is expected to intervene in the government securities market to supply temporary reserves indirectly via customer repurchase agreements, economists said. We continue to make substantial investments in automating the reporting of our CCAR and DFAST results. JPM’s ROE target is 15% (see image above). Let’s be honest, Citi has some serious problems it has to fix. How to Customize Capital Market Assumptions; 2020 JP Morgan Capital Market Assumptions; Calculations and Assumptions; How do I change the inflation rate? $365.0B Dividend Yield 2.04% Beta 1.17 Business Description J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) provides global financial services and retail banking and is based in New York, New York. Capital market assumptions are intended as a general guide to the future, rather than a detailed street map. The research forecasts modest global growth over the next 10-15 years, as investors must re-think "safe-havens" in their portfolio now that bonds … It is computed from the prices of selected stocks (typically a weighted arithmetic mean). Investing in stocks, such as Ubsetf JPM, is an excellent way to grow wealth. JPM's Basel III Tier 1 Common equity (CET1) ratio was up 20 basis points in the quarter, sequentially, to 12.4%, given strong earnings and flat risk-weighted assets. 1. Capital allocation framework 14 Invest in the business 1. How are Potential AUM Fees calculated? If our underlying assumptions turn out to be incorrect, or if certain risks or ... Market Estimates: Unless noted otherwise, all references to market sizes, market share positions, and market growth rates are BSX internal estimates. Management Commentary Peter Reed, Great Elm’s Chief Executive Officer, stated, “This financing transaction with JPM enables the firm to accelerate the growth of our existing businesses and at the same time, provides incremental capital to acquire additional businesses. All data, projections and opinions are as of the date of this report and subject to change. We employ conditional value at risk (CVaR) to facilitate forward-looking scenario-based outcomes out-side the range of historical observations.3 A two-state Markov switching model is applied to identify regimes in the forward-looking market … BMO Capital Markets analysts expect the bank to release another $2 billion this quarter, with rivals Bank of America releasing $1.6 billion, Wells Fargo $1.5 billion and Citigroup $2.4 billion. We run various portfolio allocations against market scenarios that we describe as normal, bear market, and cat-astrophic market. The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. Hypothetical vs Weighted Average Return; What is Potential Revenue Rate? Changes in these assumptions may have a material impact on the backtested returns presented. It was unsuccessful, in part, because JPM, as a bank, is unable to seed with balance sheet cash. Capital market assumptions . JPMorgan Chase 10K annual report filed 2020-12-31. Tauriga Sciences Inc. Approved to be Corporate Exhibitor at 2021 CTIC Capital Pre-J.P. Morgan Healthcare Investment Summit January 9th-10th, 2021 December 31, 2020 11:52 ET | … This internal funding rate is based on certain market inputs and assumptions, which may prove to be incorrect, and is intended to approximate the prevailing market replacement funding rate for the notes. Concurrent with Expected Closing, Company to Host Conference Call to Discuss at 8:30 AM on December 29, 2020. 4 LONG-TERM CAPITAL MARKET ASSUMPTIONS A global pandemic can shift our perspective, making it more difficult to focus on the future. Sheila was fooled. 2 + The Strategic Perspective. J.P. Morgan Chase achieved a reasonable level of profitability in recent years. Announces Financing In The Form Of A Preferred Equity Investment From Affiliate of JPMorgan Chase & Co. ... as of the close of the stock market … Research has shown that demographic trends have important relationships with many economic variables. See “Understanding J.P. Morgan Long Term Capital Market Assumptions” and May 17, 2021. The 25th annual edition explores how the policies adopted to tackle the COVID-19 crisis will affect the next cycle – and how investors can craft a new portfolio for a new decade. GPI Capital is a leading alternative investment firm that provides strategic capital and partners with growth-oriented technology, consumer and industrial companies. Returns are constrained in many markets. February 11, 2009 at 3:49 PM sales volumes, cash flow, capital expenditures and effective tax rate for fiscal year 2021 and our expectations regarding future growth and financial performance are forward-looking statements. Global coordinators and joint-book-running managers for the New Notes were J.P. Morgan Securities LLC and RBC Capital Markets, LLC. These projection assumptions are not a guarantee, prediction, or projection of the future results; rather, they explain the assumptions used to create the wealth projec-tion ranges generated within You Invest. 2019 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions (JP Morgan AM) J.P. Morgan Asset Management provides 10 to 15-year risk/return projections for over 50 asset classes/strategies and several thematic articles relevant to long-term investors. John Bilton, head of global multi-asset strategy at JPMorgan Asset Management, and David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, discusses the … Rosen Law Firm, a global investor rights law firm, announces the filing of a class action lawsuit on behalf of purchasers of the securities of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) between February 23, 2016 and September 23, 2020, inclusive (the "Class Period"). Over the weekend we reported that for those who "hoped that the worst is now over, JPM has some bad news", referring to the latest calculation for month and quarter-end selling by JPM quant Nick Panigirtzoglou who said that the equity rebalancing flow question is resurfacing in client conversations. 1 J.P. Morgan Asset Management, 2017 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions, 21st Annual Edition. But, of course, this is the essential task of any long-term investor, regardless of the stresses and challenges in the moment. Governor Daniel K. Tarullo--Stress Testing after Five Years--June 24, 2014; Governor Daniel K. Tarullo--Developing Tools for Dynamic Capital Supervision--April 10, 2012 JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) publishes its annual "Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions" report every year with the intent of providing professional guidance in … 27 March 2013. to access capital, maintain liquidity and service the Company’s debt in volatile market conditions, particularly in the U.S.,as a large portion of the Company’s cash is held and operating cash flows are generated outside the U.S.; environmental and logistical obstacles affecting the distribution of products and risks associated with 12163-26 — C.R. Please view the full 2017 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions here. Junius was created as a rebranding, because in tough conditions it is hard to shake a market stigma of a "core" shop. If our base-case assumptions are true the market price will converge on our fair value estimate over time, generally within three years. Developing Capital market returns . ... • Active venture capital portfolio – 40+ investments in mixed stages of opportunity – 5 of 12 most recently closed deals ... such as Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1), Tier 1, Tier 2, Total Capital, etc. Joseph Simonian 1. is the founder and CIO of Autonomous Investment Technologies LLC in Newton, MA. NEW YORK, Nov. 10, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- J.P. Morgan Asset Management today released its 2021 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions (LTCMAs), this year exploring how the alignment of fiscal and monetary policy adopted to tackle the COVID-19 crisis will impact the economy and markets over the next cycle. On June 21, 2019, JPMorgan Chase & Co. (“JPMorgan Chase… 28 View Finals 2020 JPM Long-Term Assumptions (5).xlsx from FINA 6411 at University Of Charleston. Capital Market Assumption (CMA) model expected returns do not show actual performance and are for illustrative purposes only. The J.P. Morgan High Yield ETF Volatility Target Index 3% (“JPUSHYS3E”): Tracks the return of the Underlying ETF ("High Yield Constituent") which is the PIMCO 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond Index ETF (“HYS”), to achieve the yield, volatility level and low or negative correlations with other asset classes inherent in short maturity high yield. Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review Quantitative Results, 2013 - 2019 (CSV) Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review Quantitative Results Data Dictionary; Related Speeches. We also lead volunteer service activities for employees in local communities by utilizing our many resources, including those that stem from access to capital… Toggle to 2020 Capital Market Assumptions. The Group cautions investors that a number of important factors, including those in this … While JPM and two of its money-center superbank peers, Bank of America and Citibank, now together control a staggering 89.6% of the total US banks' derivatives markets, 359 commercial banks reported dabbling in derivatives to the OCC in Q3 2001. 2 Source: Bain Consulting analysis, market reports, internal market sizing. capital markets assumptions (CMAs) by the industry, together with other portfolio design elements like risk tolerance and time horizon, will ultimately dictate what the portfolios look like. $1.7b more is a BIG difference. Capital Market Outlook . Always. Overview . been market receptivity for securities issuances from Spain, Portugal, ... 14 banks had no objection to their capital plans. The signs of speculative excess in the stock market today are obvious. With a rising market interest, its interest margin will be widenInvestment Thesis: Significant stock buyback. This move outpaced the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.04%. Operations are divided into Capital Market Assumptions 4 *We use local inflation for international developed equity and fixed income markets. All data, projections and opinions are as of the date of this report and subject to change. And to answer this question quantitatively, the quant calculated that as much as … My experience with Research and Markets’ Customer Experience Team was great. A half-million dollars is a lot of money. In the 25 th edition of the research, long-term growth and inflation … Capital Market Outlook . These initiatives, and others described in this filing, significantly reduce the probability that the JPM How to Switch from 2021 to 2020 JPM Capital Market Assumptions; See more In a statement, Ally said it "continues to disagree" with the Fed's review of the bank's capital strength under a stress. Moody’s CreditView is our flagship solution for global capital markets that incorporates credit ratings, research and data from Moody’s Investors Service plus research, data and content from Moody’s Analytics. Risk-on sentiment crept through the trade-tension headlines as a phase one agreement came to be, calming market … Through our legal jpm guide retirement for use on certain assumptions and taxation agreements and may fluctuate in local communities by the sections of current market conditions and community The benefit plan details of this can happen when async darla js file is a new notifications. For long-term investors, stocks are a good investment even during periods of the market volatility - a stock market downturn means that many stocks are on sale. The bad scenario in the JPM slide was loopy. lios and close to the global capital market weights. Modeling Constraints. (ffabozzi{at}stevens.edu) 2. Summary of proposed 2016 Capital Market Assumptions . IN THIS ISSUE • Macro Strategy—The track of the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing index suggests cyclical momentum is as strong as we have seen in the post-war period. Palantir will achieve US GAAP operating margins of 23% by 2031. A close up of a sign Model Return Resampling Procedure. The market may be underestimating the impact of the national broadband network on fixed line profit margins, JPMorgan’s Peter Brunker says, but … This internal funding rate is based on certain market inputs and assumptions, which may prove to be incorrect, and is intended to approximate the prevailing market replacement funding rate for the notes. Talk of a potential trade war sent developed-market stocks reeling at various times throughout the quarter, while emerging markets stocks powered through the turmoil. NEW YORK, Nov. 6, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- J.P. Morgan Asset Management today released its 2020 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions (LTCMAs), this year exploring the complexities of … Risk-on sentiment crept through the trade-tension headlines as a phase one agreement came to be, calming market fears. Setting out our return assumptions In estimating nominal returns over the next ten years, we employ the same framework used for other equity markets thereby ensuring consistency across our other regional equity assumptions. JP Morgan Chase & Co. ... of Sandy and Andrew and other natural disasters to calibrate the assumptions we're using. Agenda. If our base-case assumptions are true the market price will converge on our fair value estimate over time, generally within three years. JPM is much likely to remain under the regulatory issues, as now it is also under Therefore, when developing assumptions as to what returns a pension plan’s assets might be expected to earn in the future, we seek input from our colleagues in the investment advisory community. Librarian Capital JPM Rating History vs. Share Price (Since 2019) Source: Yahoo Finance (09-Apr-21) . J.P. Morgan’s website and/or mobile terms, privacy and security policies don’t apply to the site or app you're about to visit. So one can argue that the capital ratio went from 7.0% to 11.8% and ROTCE went from 21% down to 15%. The lawsuit seeks to recover damages for JPMorgan investors under the federal securities laws. I think that using this ROE target might be too aggressive. But Citi’s failure is hardly an indictment of the “one stop” business model. Each category is the numerator for the various capital ratios JPM is required to meet. Capital Market Assumptions 12/21/2020 Professional Investment Management Peak Capital Management | 9250 E. Costilla Avenue, Suite 430, Greenwood Village, CO 80112 | 720-361-4019 | www.pcmstrategies.com Peak Capital Management, LLC, an SEC Registered Investment Advisor For the past 25 years, JP Morgan has published their annual capital Bank One/JPM had a total return of 10.4%/year during the period 3/27/2000 - 12/31/2014, and BRK shares returned +8.7%/year during that time. Pharma pipeline including BD 2. ... based on management’s estimates, assumptions and projections, and are subject to significant uncertainties and other factors,many of which are beyond Bristol-Myers Squibb’s and Celgene’s control. Keyword-suggest-tool.com Jp morgan long term capital market assumptions 2018 With global temperatures on the rise, learn how changes in public climate policy can accelerate and lead to significant investment effects. Jp morgan long term capital market assumptions 2018. How to Switch from 2021 to 2020 JPM Capital Market Assumptions Follow the steps below to revert back to using the 2020 JPM Capital Market Assumptions! JP Morgan is due to release Q1 2021 results on Wednesday (April 14). JPM issued an official press release on December 19th that claimed it had $2.6b in loans and other exposure to financial-disaster-du-jour Enron! Frank J. Fabozzi 1. is professor of finance at EDHEC Business School in Nice, France. NEW YORK, Nov. 6, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- J.P. Morgan Asset Management today released its 2020 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions (LTCMAs), this year exploring the complexities of … Returns are gross of fees. Continue reading 00.00: Assumption of long-term capital markets. considerably in time. tions. Capital Market Assumptions Q1 update. Generally speaking, as a nation’s population ages, the balance of capital … They knew it. Posts about JPM written by dearjohnthain. Background. Capital market assumptions have two basic components: expected returns and a measure of risk. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) Q4 2020 earnings call dated Jan. 15, 2021 Corporate Participants: Jennifer A. Piepszak — Chief Financial Officer James Dimon — Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer […] JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) Q4 … They do not reflect actual trading, liquidity constraints, fees, expenses, taxes and other factors that could impact the future returns. December 21, 2020 16:01 ET | Source: Great Elm Capital Group, Inc. Please review its terms, privacy and security policies to see how they apply to you. These models are dependent on inputs such as the traded market prices of comparable derivative instruments and on various other inputs, some of which are market-observable, and which can include volatility, dividend rates, interest rates and other factors, as well as assumptions about future market events and/or environments. * GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0. The year ended on a high note, with most assets posting positive returns during the last quarter of the decade. But, it shows the potential upside if JPM is able to reach a sustainable ROE of 15%. Speculative booms provide entertainment and outsized profits while they are happening, but they do generally burst painfully. Risk-on sentiment crept through the trade-tension headlines as a phase one agreement came to be, calming market fears. Because of for-ward capital commitments, the alternatives allocation tends to rise even in normal markets. Bank One was a boring bank. Read the latest JPM earnings, compare with past earnings, and copy+paste into Excel. Capital Market Assumptions Q1 update. NEW YORK, Nov. 10, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- J.P. Morgan Asset Management today released its 2021 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions (LTCMAs), this year exploring how the alignment of fiscal and monetary policy adopted to tackle the COVID-19 crisis will impact the economy and markets over the next cycle. It is close to impossible to forecast the future precisely, so instead we try to reflect what would be a reasonable assessment of the capital markets in 10 years’ time. Jp morgan capital market assumptions pdf JPMorgan Chase & Co's (JPM.N) first-quarter results on Wednesday laid bare the challenge big banks face in this phase of the pandemic, where stimulus programs have left individuals and businesses in good financial shape but so flush with cash that few of them need loans.The biggest U.S. bank sailed past Wall I’ve touched on many of them on this blog. The results are surprising. capital markets assumptions (CMAs) by the industry, together with other portfolio design elements like risk tolerance and time horizon, will ultimately dictate what the portfolios look like. As announced in early 2018, JPMorgan Chase will deploy $1.75 billion in philanthropic capital around the world by 2023. Amarantus will be participating in Redefining Early Stage Investments (RESI) JPM 2018 on Tuesday January 9, 2018 at the Marines' Memorial Club & … So even as capital ratios creep higher, ROTCE remains constant. Capital Analysis and Review, commonly referred to as CCAR, and the Dodd-Frank Act Stress Test, commonly referred to as DFAST. The 25th annual edition explores how the policies adopted to tackle the COVID-19 crisis will affect the next cycle – and how investors can craft a new portfolio for a new decade. At Horizon Actuarial, we are retirement and healthcare actuaries, not investment professionals. Forward-looking statements are subject to assumptions, inherent risks and uncertainties, many of which relate to factors that ar e beyond the Group’s control or precise estimate. THE INFRASTRUCTURE MOMENT 2 INVESTMENT INSIGHTS In today’s challenging “everything is expensive” investment environment, with Barclays Aggregate yields well below their As of Dec20, JPMorgan Chase's earnings power value is $151.16. For an explanation of this financial measure and a reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP measure, refer to our May 17, 2021. A prominent theme underlying the 2017 Capital Market Assumptions is that of demographics. : 1010366439. The bank said it would like further insight into the central bank's assumptions and modeled results like loss rates on Ally's commercial and industrial loans, particularly dealer floorplan lending. Survey of 2016 Capital Market return assumptions . We’re dedicated to delivering you the information you need. reasonable assumptions, no assurance can be given that these assumptions are accurate or that any of these expectations will be achieved (in full or at all) or will prove to have been correct. I’m still trying to get my head around the V/JPM deal (see prior blog).As I outlined in Business Implications of Tokens, New ACH and the Visa/JPM Deal, US bank token efforts are clearly focusing on POS payments. Capital market assumptions have two basic components: expected returns and a measure of risk. General assumptions include: XYZ firm would have been able to purchase the securities recommended by the model and the markets were sufficiently liquid to permit all trading. JPMorgan Chase (JPM) closed the most recent trading day at $110.68, moving +0.31% from the previous trading session. The year ended on a high note, with most assets posting positive returns during the last quarter of the decade. They lied. Nevertheless, JPM’s Sterling Auty thinks the company is well-placed to capitalize on current trends. Mastercard and Visa’s strategies are focusing on all digital wallets.. A central problem facing any token is “where to start”. 2021 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions . JP Morgan Healthcare Conference. Setting capital market risk premia – detail. This internal funding rate is based on certain market inputs and assumptions, which may prove to be incorrect, and is intended to approximate the prevailing market replacement funding rate for the notes. If our underlying assumptions turn out to be incorrect, or if ... Market Estimates: Unless noted otherwise, all references to market sizes, market share positions, and market growth rates are BSX internal estimates. Target Market Our target market is the world of traders witch includes institutions as well as ... want to be careful and question your original assumptions. This implies Palantir’s revenue will grow at a CAGR of 30% for 10 years. In finance, a stock index, or stock market index, is an index that measures a stock market, or a subset of the stock market, that helps investors compare current price levels with past prices to calculate market performance. The 10-year Treasury has “rallied” to 1.85%. This is a potential source of income Risk Factors: High litigation cost. JPM have reserved $34 billion in credit … If a half of WaMu's book was that bad (and that I doubt) and a half was 10% default and 30% loss given default you still dont quite get the 54 billion in the bad case scenario in the JPM slide. It's hard to underestimate how important WFC and JPM are to the mortgage business in the U.S. WFC is a monster, accounting for perhaps 30 percent of the mortgage origination business; JPM … 7.55 5.00 -0.15 1.00 5.22 8.20 6.00 0.32 0.53 1.00 Global Credit Sensitive Convertible 5.27 4.90 U.S. Capital Market Assumptions Q1 update. Investing for the long term (UBS AM, Feb 2019) 4 We use overlapping observations throughout this analysis to take full advantage of the data, al though that does mean the longer-horizon bad outcomes become more overlapping (i.e., only a handful Page 7 June 12, 2020 JP Morgan Capital Goods Virtual Conference FY 2020: Top line guidance revised, EPS guidance suspended Book-to-bill > 1 FY 2020 Siemens Group Assumptions Revenue FY 2019 58.5 COVID-19 pandemic began to impact financial results in FY Q2 Expect even stronger impacts from pandemic in FY Q3 JPMorgan is the largest bank holding company in the U.S. and the sixth largest in the world with $2.5 trillion in assets. In finance, the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) is a model used to determine a theoretically appropriate required rate of return of an asset, to make decisions about adding assets to a well-diversified portfolio.. At Great-West Capital Management, LLC (GWCM) we In the 25 th edition of the research, long-term growth and inflation … Northern Trust Global Services Limited Luxembourg Branch, 6 rue Lou Hemmer, L-1748 Senningerberg, Grand-Duché de Luxembourg, Succursale d’une société de droit étranger RCS B129936. The bank's capital ratio was also 12.4% under the fully phased-in standardized approach and JPM believes the standardized ratio will eventually be the bank's binding constraint. JPM also reported that it … The peak was in 2007, the height of the bubble. Any forward-looking statements are based on current knowledge, expectations and estimates that involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Capital Market Assumptions 12/21/2020 Professional Investment Management Peak Capital Management | 9250 E. Costilla Avenue, Suite 430, Greenwood Village, CO 80112 | 720-361-4019 | www.pcmstrategies.com Peak Capital Management, LLC, an SEC Registered Investment Advisor For the past 25 years, JP Morgan has published their annual capital ... –Strong balance sheet well positioned for strategic capital deployment JPM continues to be a leader JPMorgan Chase overview $98 $85 $78 $85 $35 $34 JPM WFC C BAC GS MS $22 ... Key assumptions: Normalization of interest rates ... 2014. (jsimonian{at}autoinvestec.com) 3. Three-year forward-looking CAGR beginning 2020 and ending 2023. The FTSE 100 Index is a market-capitalization weighted index of UK-listed blue chip companies. 2 + The Strategic Perspective. Appendix. Consumer put 3. For those dabbling in derivatives, making linear assumptions in a non-linear world can be lethal! The main difference between our proposal and the majority of market–based systemic risk indices, is that SRISK merges market and balance sheet information in order to construct a market–based measure of financial distress, which is the expected capital shortfall … The stock market is a particularly dangerous place to tread when speculative activity starts to overwhelm investing activity. ERSRI • Capital Market Assumptions Visa Inc, Facebook, Amazon Inc, JP Morgan Chase, Apple Inc, Alphabet Cl C, Alibaba Group Holding, Taiwan Semiconductor, and Microsoft Corp Return on Invested Capital description Return on Invested Capital is ratio estimated by dividing Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT by [InvCapAvg]. 2 + The Strategic Perspective. A BHC's capital plan must include estimates of projected revenues, expenses, losses, reserves, and pro forma capital levels, including any minimum regulatory capital ratios, the tier 1 common ratio and any additional capital measures deemed relevant by the BHC, over the planning horizon under expected conditions and under a range of stressed scenarios. How to Switch from 2021 to 2020 JPM Capital Market Assumptions. DDM-JPM-FY20Q2Download Quick Bits: Unlike the previous recession in 2008 where fundamental economic issues caused a severe downturn, the current recession was caused by a forced shutdown.Despite provisions for credit losses during the COVID-19 pandemic, JPM remains profitable YTD, with revenues even growing higher than the previous year. JPM Forex Inc. A Unique Trading Company Business Plan PreparedContact ... their ability to compounding capital rapidly. Accurate market data is crucial to a successful business strategy. Changes in these assumptions may have a material impact on the backtested returns presented. Under Capital Asset Pricing Model, the market-cap weighted market portfolio, which could be approximated with the market-cap weighted equity index portfolio, is mean-variance efficient, meaning that it produces the highest return for a given level of risk. 7/16/2020. Capital structure is the particular combination of debt and equity used by a company to funds its ongoing operations and continue to grow. Licensed by the Capital Market Authority — License No.
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